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Shadow Open Market Committee (SOMC) Event

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SOMC: Preparing To Normalize Monetary Policy

November 3, 2014

The Shadow Open Market Committee (SOMC) was founded in 1973 by Karl Brunner of the University of Rochester and Allan Meltzer of Carnegie Mellon University. Now sponsored by the Manhattan Institute, the SOMC is an independent group of economists drawn from academic institutions and private organizations that provides external perspective on the policy choices and actions of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee. The SOMC also addresses a range of macroeconomic issues including banking policy and fiscal policy matters that bear on FOMC decisions. The Committee’s deliberations are intended to improve discussions among policy makers, journalists, and the general public with the hope that wiser policy decisions will result.

10:30 AMREGISTRATION
11:15 AMWELCOME AND INTRODUCTORY REMARKS
PANEL, CORE BELIEFS OF THE SOMC
MODERATOR: MARVIN GOODFRIEND
PANELISTS: Michael Bordo, Charles Calomiris, Peter Ireland
12:00 PMLUNCH
12:40 PMGUEST SPEAKER
RICHARD FISHER, President, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
1:45 PMSOMC POSITION PAPERS AND Q&A
PANEL 1
MICHAEL BORDO, Federal Reserve Credibility: Lessons from History
MICKEY LEVY, Rate Hike Fears are Unwarranted
ATHANASIOS ORPHANIDES, European Headwind: ECB Policy and Fed Normalization
MARVIN GOODFRIEND, Monetary Policy as a Carry Trade

PANEL 2
PETER IRELAND, The Classical Theory of Inflation
CHARLES CALOMIRIS, Phony Deflation Worries
BENNETT MCCALLUM, Threat to the Fed: Bitcoin
GREGORY HESS, Can We Trust the Fed?

3:30 PMADJOURN

Papers - November 3, 2014 – New York, NY

Federal Reserve Credibility and Reputation in Historical Perspective by Michael D. Bordo, Rutgers University

Phony Deflation Worries by Charles W. Calomiris, Columbia University

Monetary Policy as a Carry Trade by Marvin Goodfriend, Carnegie Mellon University

Can We Trust the Fed? by Gregory D. Hess, Wabash College

The Classical Theory of Inflation and Its Uses Today by Peter Ireland, Boston College

Rate Hike Fears are Unwarranted by Mickey D. Levy, Blenheim Capital Management

Bitcoin Issues by Bennett T. McCallum, Carnegie Mellon University

European Headwind: ECB Policy and Fed Normalization by Athanasios Orphanides, MIT


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